Description

This analysis provides a forecast of THETA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.984665 1.123637 1.274995 1.452064 1.653527 1.875618 2.139054
2025-02-23 0.745657 0.929477 1.147585 1.425392 1.769863 2.183086 2.716738
2025-03-02 0.616611 0.817629 1.070860 1.413156 1.863855 2.437303 3.223087
2025-03-09 0.533658 0.744357 1.023105 1.418659 1.965662 2.695907 3.746118
2025-03-16 0.470767 0.686141 0.983450 1.423523 2.058536 2.942323 4.267734
2025-03-23 0.423494 0.642044 0.955444 1.437202 2.159339 3.202517 4.826683
2025-03-30 0.373038 0.586358 0.903124 1.407216 2.189641 3.359101 5.243392
2025-04-06 0.330998 0.538017 0.855544 1.377340 2.213843 3.504239 5.650466
2025-04-13 0.291636 0.489196 0.801560 1.330578 2.204751 3.593753 5.973762
2025-04-20 0.282614 0.488204 0.822613 1.405125 2.395291 4.012603 6.861765
2025-04-27 0.272517 0.484095 0.837637 1.470150 2.574546 4.426268 7.775362
2025-05-04 0.261827 0.477677 0.847746 1.526922 2.743537 4.834952 8.713658
2025-05-11 0.246179 0.461378 0.840019 1.553027 2.863623 5.173951 9.568321
2025-05-18 0.223800 0.430657 0.803994 1.524965 2.884138 5.339844 10.127837
2025-05-25 0.206053 0.406689 0.777747 1.511875 2.929847 5.553034 10.790488
2025-06-01 0.192663 0.389640 0.762571 1.517760 3.010786 5.836144 11.607263
2025-06-08 0.180478 0.373704 0.747926 1.522962 3.090126 6.121469 12.451187
2025-06-15 0.170479 0.361152 0.738623 1.537589 3.188730 6.450886 13.409159
2025-06-22 0.156400 0.338813 0.707771 1.505524 3.189661 6.586637 13.984869
2025-06-29 0.143680 0.318102 0.678348 1.473575 3.187545 6.715023 14.554545
2025-07-06 0.130459 0.295046 0.642001 1.423569 3.142590 6.750791 14.929903
2025-07-13 0.129875 0.299734 0.664834 1.503287 3.383304 7.403948 16.690935
2025-07-20 0.128263 0.301941 0.682418 1.572821 3.607299 8.038583 18.463892